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Missile Wars: What's Coming

On March 16, 2020, NPEC's Executive Director, Henry Sokolski gave the following lecture at University of California: San Diego.

Missile Wars: What's Coming

Since the 1970s, military theorists have predicted wars would be waged with super precise missiles that would penetrate most defenses. Recent successful missile attacks against oil facilities at Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia, and Ain Assad Airbase in Iraq suggest that their predictions have come true. How real is this revolution? What new civilian and military targets might now be vulnerable that previously were not? In the case of civilian targets, such as nuclear power plants and cities, what are the moral and military considerations? This presentation will answer these questions.

Mar 16, 2020
AUTHOR: Henry Sokolski

Missile Wars: What's Coming

Henry Sokolski

University of California: San Diego


Missile Wars: An Overview 


Missile Wars: 1972-2020


Reactor Vulnerability to Missiles in 1992


Reactor Vulnerability to Missiles Today


City Busting or Ginsu Strikes: We Now Can Choose


Should We Target Civilians and Civil Assets?


Does Counter Value Mean Mass Murder?


Do We Need Large Yields When We Have Accuracy?


What Deterrence Might Entail in a Missile Driven Competition


Real Deterrence Requires Imagining Real Wars


The Ethical and Technical Requirements for Effective Precision Strikes


Thinking About Long-Term Offense-Defense Competition

The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC), is a 501 (c)3 nonpartisan, nonprofit, educational organization
founded in 1994 to promote a better understanding of strategic weapons proliferation issues. NPEC educates policymakers, journalists,
and university professors about proliferation threats and possible new policies and measures to meet them.
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