With New START now being implemented with Russia, it has become fashionable to push for even far deeper cuts, perhaps as low as several warheads on each side. Such low numbers, though, approach what other nuclear weapons states, such as France, China, Israel, India, and Pakistan, either have or plan to get. 

How compatible are deeper U.S.-Russian reductions with the nuclear activities and plans of other states? How does Russia view the nuclear and conventional military modernization activities of China? How might the continuing military competition between Pakistan and India play out? What are the strategic nuclear dynamics between the DPRK, South Korea, Japan, and China with both their current and planned military and civilian nuclear activities? Are military nuclear competitions in the Middle East using civilian nuclear programs as covers inevitable? What beyond our current arms control and nonproliferation efforts might help address these threats?

The Next Arms Race, which is the result of a three-year project, showcases 15 research papers that tackle these questions directly. It is published online by the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute, where it is possible to order hard copies of the book. 

 The Strategic Studies Institute Publications Office, United States Army War College

Edited by NPEC executive director Henry Sokolski - 2012

Nuclear Nonproliferation: Moving Beyond Pretense, showcases roughly half of the research along with a preliminary set of findings and recommendations NPEC generated as part of a two-year project. Its findings are pretty tough. Bottom line: Unless the US and other nuclear supplier states step up to tighten the nuclear rules governing the export of civilian nuclear technology, the further spread of civilian nuclear technology is unlikely to be so "peaceful." In specific, more Irans, Osirak raids, or worse is likely.

The good news is that none of this is inevitable. The introduction to the book lays out the problem, the gist of the research the book showcases, and what principles and steps governments can take to contain and reverse current trends. Early next year, NPEC will release all of the research it commissioned as a part of this project along with its final report. Until then, we hope this preliminary findings and report will prompt constructive discussion and debate.

Nonproliferation Policy Education Center 
Edited by NPEC executive director Henry Sokolski - 2012

Up until the controversy surrounding the default of the Solyndra Corporation on its federal clean energy loan guarantee in November of 2011, such guarantees enjoyed broad-based bipartisan support. Not any longer. First, President Obama failed to include any monies in his proposed fiscal year 2013 budget to Congress for such loans. Next, fiscal House conservatives held a series of oversight hearings on the Solyndra debacle. Pure Risk examines what risks remain for the billions of dollars of loan guarantees that have already been made and that the Department of Energy plans yet to make. The volume includes the perspectives of leading energy experts from the fiscal Right to the environmental Left and includes analysis done by the U.S. Congressional Budget Office.

Nonproliferation Policy Education Center
Edited by NPEC executive director Henry Sokolski - 2012

NPEC releases its new book, "Nuclear Power’s Global Expansion: Weighing Its Costs and Risks", which explores the potential answers to the questions, Will the global spread of nuclear power programs, which could bring many more countries much closer to acquiring nuclear weapons capabilities, be an inevitable consequence of energy market economics? Or is such an expansion impossible without government subsidies and new policies to support them? This volume showcases the analyses of some of the world’s leading energy experts to shed light on this key 21st century security issue, published online by the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute.

The Strategic Studies Institute Publications Office, United States Army War College

Edited by NPEC executive director Henry Sokolski - 2010

NPEC releases its new book, "Reviewing the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty", which lays out problems and solutions for the NPT article by article, published online by the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute.

The Strategic Studies Institute Publications Office, United States Army War College

Edited by NPEC executive director Henry Sokolski - 2010