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HOME > TOPICS > Nuclear Abolition & The Next Arms Race      
Nuclear Abolition & The Next Arms Race
As the U.S. reduces its nuclear arsenal, what might the next arms race look like? Assuming current nuclear trends continue, the next two decades will test America’s security and that of its closest allies as they never have been tested before. Before 2020, the United Kingdom could find its nuclear forces eclipsed not only by those of Pakistan, but of Israel and of India. Soon thereafter, France may share the same fate. read more
Jan 24, 2018 Hinckley Institute of Politics Guest Lecture, "What Future Might U.S. Nuclear Arms Control Have?"
NPEC's Executive Director gives a guest lecture at the University of Utah's Hinckley Institute of Politics on the future of nuclear arms control.
Sep 25, 2017 South Korea's Nuclear Capabilities, Missiles, and the Next War
Zachary Keck, NPEC Wohlstetter Public Affairs Fellow, has published two articles about nuclear weapons in South Korea. The first argues that redeploying U.S. tactical nuclear weapons in South Korea would have no military utility while also undermining alliance relations. The second one, co-authored with NPEC Research Coordinator, Leon Whyte, highlights how South Korea could use its reactor-grade plutonium to build a nuclear weapons arsenal. The first article is "4 Reasons America Shouldn't Send Nuclear Weapons to South Korea or Japan." The second article is "Can South Korea Build a Nuclear Bomb in 6 Months?" Both are posted in their entirety below. 
Op-Eds & Blogs
Sep 14, 2017 September 14 Hill Lunch - America's and Japan's Other Emerging Nuclear Problem: Tons of "Peaceful" Plutonium
NPEC hosted a Capitol Hill policy lunch forum on September 14, "America's and Japan's Other Emerging Nuclear Problem: Tons of "Peaceful" Plutonium." The forum featured a panel of visiting Diet members and experts from Japan who came to draw attention to the planned expansion of "peaceful" commercial plutonium capacity in Japan, China, and South Korea. If these East Asian nations' plans are realized, thousands of weapons' worth of nuclear explosive material will be stockpiled in the region. Japan and the United States currently have a nuclear cooperative agreement that permits plutonium production. It is up for renewal in July of 2018. The question is: will the United States and Japan exploit this agreement's provision for joint consultations on Japan's plutonium plans? Will Japan defer opening its large commercial plutonium reprocessing plant at Rokkasho next fall? Is it possible to encourage China to defer its plans to begin construction of a similar larger plutonium separation plant? Finally, what are South Korea's plans regarding the recycling of plutonium? Watch the event video below to get answers to these questions. 
Presentations; Audio & Video
Aug 17, 2017 Tokyo and Washington Have Another Nuclear Problem
NPEC's Executive Director Henry Sokolski and Advisory Board member William Tobey publish a piece in Foreign Policy, "Tokyo and Washington Have Another Nuclear Problem,"  discussing the looming problem of plutonium production in Japan, China, and South Korea. 
Op-Eds & Blogs
Nov 16, 2016 The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Posts NPEC Program Advisor's Analysis "What if nuclear weapons are used?"
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists published a piece by NPEC's program adivisor Victor Gilinsky on what the consequences might be if nuclear weapons areused. 
Op-Eds & Blogs
Sep 06, 2016 The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Posts "Six Nuclear Questions for the Next President" by Henry Sokolski
The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists published a piece by NPEC's executive director Henry Sokolski that spotlights six NPEC nuclear questions for the presidential candidates. 
Op-Eds & Blogs
Aug 26, 2016 Brian M. Jenkins and John Lauder: The Nuclear Terrorism Threat: How Real Is It? (Working Paper 1602)
NPEC Working Paper 1602, “The Nuclear Terrorism Threat: How Real Is It?” presents two opposed views on the threat of nuclear terrorism. Brian M. Jenkins, a Rand analyst and a leading expert on nuclear terrorism, argues that the threat is overblown. John Lauder,  former director of the Central Intelligence Agency’s Nonproliferation Center, argues the opposing case that the threat is growing and we need to be hedging against it now.
Working Papers & Monographs
Mar 28, 2016 Can East Asia Avoid a Nuclear Explosive Arms Race?
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists publishes analysis by NPEC's executive director, "Can East Asia avoid a nuclear explosive materials arms race?"
Op-Eds & Blogs
Sep 17, 2015 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' First International Book Review Telecast Showcases Underestimated
Audio & Video
Aug 28, 2015 John Batchelor Show Reviews "Underestimated"
NPEC's Executive Director discusses Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future on the John Batchelor Show. For the full audio of this interview, click here. 
Interviews; Audio & Video
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The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC), is a 501 (c)3 nonpartisan, nonprofit, educational organization
founded in 1994 to promote a better understanding of strategic weapons proliferation issues. NPEC educates policymakers, journalists,
and university professors about proliferation threats and possible new policies and measures to meet them.
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