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HOME > TOPICS > Nuclear Abolition & The Next Arms Race      
Nuclear Abolition & The Next Arms Race
As the U.S. reduces its nuclear arsenal, what might the next arms race look like? Assuming current nuclear trends continue, the next two decades will test America’s security and that of its closest allies as they never have been tested before. Before 2020, the United Kingdom could find its nuclear forces eclipsed not only by those of Pakistan, but of Israel and of India. Soon thereafter, France may share the same fate. read more
Dec 06, 2011 Greg Jones: Earliest Date Possible for Iran's First Bomb, February 2012
Senior Researcher Greg Jones argues that the IAEA's safeguards update shows that Western efforts to impede Iran’s centrifuge enrichment program continue to be ineffective.  Iran has maintained a steady production of 3.5% and 19.7% enriched uranium. The IAEA has also outlined the substantial progress Iran has made in the development of the non-nuclear components needed to produce nuclear weapons. If Iran were to now make an all-out effort to acquire nuclear weapons, it could probably do so in two to six months.  
Working Papers & Monographs
Nov 09, 2011 Nuclear Power and the Bomb: What's the Link?
Victor Gilinsky, former commissioner of the NRC prepared this for a conference in London co-hosted by NPEC and the Legatum Institute.
Working Papers & Monographs
Nov 07, 2011 IISS-NPEC Exchange: Can Iran Make Its 1st Bomb before June '12?
NPEC senior analyst Greg Jones and IISS's Mark Fitzpatrick debate the amount of time it would take for Iran to produce a bomb's worth of HEU.
Working Papers & Monographs
Nov 04, 2011 Greg Jones' Response to David Albright's October 27th Critique
NPEC senior analyst Greg Jones responds to a second criticism from ISIS on the amount of time Iran requires to enrich a bomb's worth of HEU.
Working Papers & Monographs
Oct 20, 2011 Frank Gaffney Interviews Henry Sokolski on the US's Policy Towards Iran
On the Frank Gaffney Show on Secure Freedom Radio, Henry Sokolski shows U.S. policy on Iran to be increasingly irrelevant. With the debate about Iran coming down to the difference between being two and eight months away from a bomb, Iran and its neighbors will begin to behave as if the nuke factor is now de facto.
Interviews; Audio & Video
Oct 19, 2011 Bruno Tertrais Updates his Assessments of N. Proliferation in N. Africa
This is a post-Arab Spring update on the prospects for nuclear proliferation in North Africa. 
Working Papers & Monographs
Oct 18, 2011 Greg Jones' Response to ISIS Critique of NPEC Calculations
 The following is a rejoinder to a critique put out by ISIS about the validity of Greg Jones' calculations from his August 2011 study.
Working Papers & Monographs
Oct 07, 2011 Slide Presentation given at SMU on the Next Arms Race
NPEC Executive Director, Henry Sokolski gave this presentation before a conference at Southern Methodist University on Oct. 4th.
Presentations
Oct 07, 2011 Henry Sokolski's Paper Presented at SMU's WMD Proliferation Problems Conference
NPEC's executive director, Henry Sokolski, discusses how the modernization of nuclear weapons and delivery capabilities throughout the world will influence global strategic military competitions over the next two decades. The final version will be published in an edited volume. This paper is a companion piece to his October 4, 2011 presentation on the "Current and Future WMD Proliferation Problems" panel for Southern Methodist University's fourth annual conference on National Security & Defense in Dallas, TX.
Working Papers & Monographs; Presentations
Sep 14, 2011 NPEC's Greg Jones' Take on Latest IAEA Safeguards Update on Iran
On September 2, 2011, the IAEA released a safeguards update showing that Western efforts to impede Iran's centrifuge enrichment program continue to be ineffective. Iran has maintained its production of 3.5% enriched uranium at a rate of about 100 kilograms per month and has significantly increased its production of 19.7% enriched uranium to 3.2 kilograms per month.
Working Papers & Monographs
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The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC), is a 501 (c)3 nonpartisan, nonprofit, educational organization
founded in 1994 to promote a better understanding of strategic weapons proliferation issues. NPEC educates policymakers, journalists,
and university professors about proliferation threats and possible new policies and measures to meet them.
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