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HOME > TOPICS > Nuclear Abolition & The Next Arms Race      
Nuclear Abolition & The Next Arms Race
As the U.S. reduces its nuclear arsenal, what might the next arms race look like? Assuming current nuclear trends continue, the next two decades will test America’s security and that of its closest allies as they never have been tested before. Before 2020, the United Kingdom could find its nuclear forces eclipsed not only by those of Pakistan, but of Israel and of India. Soon thereafter, France may share the same fate. read more
Nov 12, 2009 Analysis of Latest IAEA Iran Report: Tehran Poised to Breakout in 2010?
Reuters reported on November 12th that Iran has 1,700 to 1,800 kilograms of low enriched uranium (LEU) – enough to make one to two bombs, and the IAEA released a report on November 16th in the wake of its inspection of Iran's new enrichment facility. In fact, as nuclear analyst Greg Jones explains in a technical bulletin, Iran might not be able to make any bombs or could possibly make as many as two with this amount of material and could have the potential "breakout" capacity to build a weapon as early as 2010.
Working Papers & Monographs
Nov 05, 2009 Nuclear Weapons that Went to War (NWTWTW)
(DNA-TR-96-25, draft final report sponsored by the U.S. Defense Special Weapons Agency and Science Applications International Corp., October 1996, unclassified.) NPEC research fellow Robert Zarate wrote a brief summary of this study on the Arms Control Wonk weblog
Official Docs & Letters
Oct 27, 2009 Forbes, "Sanction Iran Now."
In an op-ed published in Forbes, "Sanction Iran Now", NPEC's executive director calls on the Obama administration to push for immediate sanctions on Iran until it suspends its fuelmaking activities and opens up to intrusive international inspections.
Op-Eds & Blogs
Oct 11, 2009 NPEC releases Detailed Analysis on Fueling Tehran's Research Reactor
NPEC releases new technical analysis of how Iran might exploit the October 1, 2009 offer of 19.75 fuel to make a bomb, in a new paper by Gregory Jones: "Fueling Tehran's Research Reactor", which complements his earlier analysis from September 15th which examined how quickly Iran could build up its stockpile with a secret enrichment facility: "Iran's Centrifuge Enrichment Program as a Source Of Fissile Material for Nuclear Weapons".
Working Papers & Monographs
Oct 08, 2009 National Review Online, "Fueling Around with Iran and the Bomb."
In "Fueling Around with Iran and the Bomb," NPEC's executive director Henry Sokolski provides insight into the potential outcomes of the October 19, 2009 nuclear talks in Vienna.
Op-Eds & Blogs
Sep 25, 2009 NPEC's Executive Director on C-SPAN
NPEC's executive director was interviewed on C-SPAN's "Washington Journal" on Obama's push for new disarmament and nonproliferation policies at the UN. President Obama spoke at the United Nations on Thursday as part of an effort to slow the spread of nuclear weapons and reduce global stockpiles. Henry Sokolski discusses both the Administration's & U.N.’s efforts and its approach to Iran.
Interviews; Audio & Video
Sep 25, 2009 National Journal, "Obama's Missile Defense Plan: Smart or Surrender?"
In the aftermath of Mr. Obama's decision to terminate the radar and 10 interceptor deployments in Poland NPEC's executive director tackles the question of whether he has caved to Russia for a less than optimal system in an expert blog entry written for the National Journal's national security blog.
Op-Eds & Blogs
Sep 24, 2009 Debate on Obama's Nuclear Policy Shift on NPR's "To The Point"
NPEC's executive director was on To the Point on National Public Radio in a discussion on "A New Thrust against Nuclear Weapons" with Colum Lynch of the Washington Post, Daryl Kimball of the Arms Control Association and James Kitfield of the National Journal.
Audio & Video
Sep 11, 2009 NPEC Rates Risks of Pushing Nuclear Power and Disarmament at Greens Conference
NPEC's executive director answered questions on the relationship between the potential for nuclear weapons proliferation that comes with the spread of nuclear energy and the inherent risks of going to zero as part of a panel at a conference put on by the Heinrich Böll Foundation in Berlin. See the Q&A here. Video of his presentation is below, with Panel Q& A following.
Sep 07, 2009 House Republican National Security Leadership Outline START Concerns
A letter from the ranking Republican members of the House Armed Services and Foreign Affairs Committees to President Obama highlights some of the dangers of deeper nuclear weapons reductions in the START follow on, including NPEC's observation that truly deep cuts might prompt China and others to increase their nuclear deployments to reach parity with the U.S.
Official Docs & Letters
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The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC), is a 501 (c)3 nonpartisan, nonprofit, educational organization
founded in 1994 to promote a better understanding of strategic weapons proliferation issues. NPEC educates policymakers, journalists,
and university professors about proliferation threats and possible new policies and measures to meet them.
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