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HOME > TOPICS > Nuclear Abolition & The Next Arms Race      
Nuclear Abolition & The Next Arms Race
As the U.S. reduces its nuclear arsenal, what might the next arms race look like? Assuming current nuclear trends continue, the next two decades will test America’s security and that of its closest allies as they never have been tested before. Before 2020, the United Kingdom could find its nuclear forces eclipsed not only by those of Pakistan, but of Israel and of India. Soon thereafter, France may share the same fate. read more
Dec 02, 2009 World at Risk: The Report of the Commission on the Prevention of WMD Proliferation and Terrorism
The report of the congressionally mandated Commission on the Prevention of WMD Proliferation and Terrorism, co-chaired by former Senators Bob Graham (D-FL) and Jim Talent (R-MO) and authored by Graham Allison, Robin Cleveland, Steve Rademaker, Tim Roemer, Wendy Sherman, NPEC executive director Henry Sokolski, and Rich Verma.
Official Docs & Letters
Nov 17, 2009 Implications for Iran's Ability to Produce Fissile Material for Nuclear Weapons
Reuters reported on November 12th that Iran has 1,700 to 1,800 kilograms of low enriched uranium (LEU) – enough to make one to two bombs, and the IAEA released a report on November 16th in the wake of its inspection of Iran's new enrichment facility. In fact, as Greg Jones, a nuclear analyst explained earlier in a technical bulletin and follows up with this updated analysis, Iran might not be able to make any bombs or could possibly make as many as two with this amount of material and could have the potential "breakout" capacity to build a weapon as early as 2010.
Working Papers
Nov 12, 2009 Analysis of Latest IAEA Iran Report: Tehran Poised to Breakout in 2010?
Reuters reported on November 12th that Iran has 1,700 to 1,800 kilograms of low enriched uranium (LEU) – enough to make one to two bombs, and the IAEA released a report on November 16th in the wake of its inspection of Iran's new enrichment facility. In fact, as nuclear analyst Greg Jones explains in a technical bulletin, Iran might not be able to make any bombs or could possibly make as many as two with this amount of material and could have the potential "breakout" capacity to build a weapon as early as 2010.
Working Papers
Nov 05, 2009 Nuclear Weapons that Went to War (NWTWTW)
(DNA-TR-96-25, draft final report sponsored by the U.S. Defense Special Weapons Agency and Science Applications International Corp., October 1996, unclassified.) NPEC research fellow Robert Zarate wrote a brief summary of this study on the Arms Control Wonk weblog
Official Docs & Letters
Oct 27, 2009 Forbes, "Sanction Iran Now."
In an op-ed published in Forbes, "Sanction Iran Now", NPEC's executive director calls on the Obama administration to push for immediate sanctions on Iran until it suspends its fuelmaking activities and opens up to intrusive international inspections.
Op-Eds & Blogs
Oct 11, 2009 NPEC releases Detailed Analysis on Fueling Tehran's Research Reactor
NPEC releases new technical analysis of how Iran might exploit the October 1, 2009 offer of 19.75 fuel to make a bomb, in a new paper by Gregory Jones: "Fueling Tehran's Research Reactor", which complements his earlier analysis from September 15th which examined how quickly Iran could build up its stockpile with a secret enrichment facility: "Iran's Centrifuge Enrichment Program as a Source Of Fissile Material for Nuclear Weapons".
Working Papers
Oct 08, 2009 National Review Online, "Fueling Around with Iran and the Bomb."
In "Fueling Around with Iran and the Bomb," NPEC's executive director Henry Sokolski provides insight into the potential outcomes of the October 19, 2009 nuclear talks in Vienna.
Op-Eds & Blogs
Oct 02, 2009 National Review Online, "Blinking on Iran."
In Blinking on Iran, NPEC executive director Henry Sokolski, discusses the issues and implications of the recent nuclear fuel concessions for Iran.  
Op-Eds & Blogs
Sep 25, 2009 NPEC's Executive Director on C-SPAN
NPEC's executive director was interviewed on C-SPAN's "Washington Journal" on Obama's push for new disarmament and nonproliferation policies at the UN. President Obama spoke at the United Nations on Thursday as part of an effort to slow the spread of nuclear weapons and reduce global stockpiles. Henry Sokolski discusses both the Administration's & U.N.’s efforts and its approach to Iran.
Audio & Video
Sep 25, 2009 National Journal, "Obama's Missile Defense Plan: Smart or Surrender?"
In the aftermath of Mr. Obama's decision to terminate the radar and 10 interceptor deployments in Poland NPEC's executive director tackles the question of whether he has caved to Russia for a less than optimal system in an expert blog entry written for the National Journal's national security blog.
Op-Eds & Blogs
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