The New START strategic nuclear weapons arms control treaty with Russia ended today. A key question now is, what new agreement covering what new strategic threats might replace it. One concern that deserves attention is China’s recent deployment of a conventional intercontinental ballistic missile, the DF-27....
On August 14, 2025, SpaceNews published the executive summary of this occasional paper: “Proxy wars in a space-serviced world: gaming satellite-assisted terror in the Middle East.” Before America’s dramatic bombing of Iran’s nuclear facilities, the Middle Eastern conflict the Pentagon was most pre-occupied with protecting shipping in the...
On March 5, 2025, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists published the executive summary of this occasional paper: “Assured distraction: How attacks on South Korea’s nuclear reactors could be a smoke screen for wider conflict.” Earlier this month, President Trump said he looked forward to re-engaging...
On February 27, 2024, The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists published this occasional paper in “Wargame simulated a conflict between Israel and Iran: It quickly went nuclear.” Click here to read the full article. On February 19, 2024, The Washington Post cited this occasional paper in “Why...
Recent reports of Elon Musk’s refusal to allow Ukraine to use his satellites to help it mount strikes against Russian military targets in Crimea pose a basic question: Just how sustainable might military use of commercial satellites be? So far, the United States and other...
More than 15 months into the war, Russian attacks against Ukraine’s nuclear plants have yet to release any radiation. As the likelihood of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant reopening quickly declines and Putin’s desire to distract the world from his declining political and military standing increases,...
On March 7, 2023, The National Interest published this occasional paper in “Pyongyang Goes Nuclear—This Time in Space.” Click here to read the full article. Last week, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol catalyzed a once forbidden public debate over whether or not South Korea...
On June 16, 2022, NPEC held a virtual meeting on “China and Article VI: Death Threats to the NPT” with Sharon Squassoni and Thomas Grant. The topic covered China’s unwillingness to negotiate “in good faith on effective measures relating to cessation of the nuclear arms...
As President Biden fills out his national security team, deterring Chinese adventurism, particularly towards Taiwan, will be necessary to keep the peace. Last October, NPEC conducted a series of wargames that had Beijing stopping all cargo ships bound for Taiwan and demanding that they pay...
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