Included in the book “Taming the Next Set of Strategic Weapons Threats”. Apr 19, 2004 AUTHOR: Henry Sokolski Nuclear 1914-The Next Big Worry (PDF) 27.35 KB Nuclear 1914: The Next Big Worry The next use of nuclear weapons, if followed quickly by others, is nothing […]
What might the next arms race look like? Assuming current nuclear trends continue, the next two decades will test America’s security and that of its closest allies as they never have been tested before. Well before 2030, the United Kingdom could find its nuclear forces eclipsed not only by those of Pakistan, but of Israel, North Korea, and India. France may share the same fate. Meanwhile, China could conceivably achieve nuclear parity in deployed nuclear weapons with the United States. Finally, highly accurate conventional missiles and drones, as well as the space-based systems and services needed to guide and defend against them are spreading both to rogue states and proxy forces. As a result, the next arms race, will be quite different than what we experienced during the Cold War.