What might the next arms race look like? Assuming current nuclear trends continue, the next two decades will test America’s security and that of its closest allies as they never have been tested before. Well before 2030, the United Kingdom could find its nuclear forces eclipsed not only by those of Pakistan, but of Israel, North Korea, and India. France may share the same fate. Meanwhile, China could conceivably achieve nuclear parity in deployed nuclear weapons with the United States. Finally, highly accurate conventional missiles and drones, as well as the space-based systems and services needed to guide and defend against them are spreading both to rogue states and proxy forces. As a result, the next arms race, will be quite different than what we experienced during the Cold War.
Mr. Blumenthal is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. Sep 03, 2006 AUTHOR: Dan Blumenthal Will India Be a Better Strategic Partner Than China (PDF) 183.71 KB Will India Be a Better Strategic Partner Than China? The Joint Declaration signed on July 18, […]
Dr. Lester is professor of nuclear science and engineering and director of the industrial performance Center at MIT, and based this article on a Washington seminar presentation NPEC sponsored in February 2006. It was published in the summer 2006 issue of Issues in Science and […]
Dr. Perkovich’s, Vice President for Studies and Director for Nonproliferation at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace paper for the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center on lessons learned from Pakistan. Jul 25, 2006 AUTHOR: George Perkovich Could Anything Be Done To Stop Them-Lessons from Pakistan (PDF) […]
Mr. Jones is a senior researcher at the RAND Corporation. Jul 09, 2006 AUTHOR: Bruce Jones What Are the Requirements for Pakistan to Field an Effective Minimum D…. (PDF) 177.27 KB What are the requirements for Pakistan to field an effective “minimum deterrent” nuclear force […]
Mr. Donnelly is a resident fellow in defense and national security studies at the American Enterprise Institute. May 27, 2006 AUTHOR: Thomas Donnelly Bad Options-Or How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Live with Loose N…. (PDF) 118.91 KB Bad Options: Or, How I Stopped […]
Mr. Dillon is an independent consultant formerly with the International Atomic Energy Agency May 16, 2006 AUTHOR: Garry Dillon Wide Area Environmental Sampling in Iran (PDF) 67.13 KB Wide Area Environmental Sampling in Iran Any meaningful negotiated agreement with Iran must, at the very minimum, […]
Included in the book “Taming the Next Set of Strategic Weapons Threats”. Apr 19, 2004 AUTHOR: Henry Sokolski Nuclear 1914-The Next Big Worry (PDF) 27.35 KB Nuclear 1914: The Next Big Worry The next use of nuclear weapons, if followed quickly by others, is nothing […]
An interim report of NPEC´s working group on Iran. Mar 11, 2004 Preliminary Policy Recommendations-An interim report of NPECs working …. (PDF) 50.53 KB Preliminary Policy Recommendations Nonproliferation Policy Education Center Competitive Strategies Work Shop Series on Iran 1. Have a U.S. or allied executive […]
Commissioned by the Non-Proliferation Education Center. Mar 19, 2003 AUTHOR: Dennis Gormley and Richard Speier Controlling Unmanned Air Vehicles-New Challenges (PDF) 151.62 KB Controlling Unmanned Air Vehicles: New Challenges I. The threat Even though ballistic missiles dominated missile non-proliferation deliberations during the last decade of […]
An analysis presented by NPEC’s Executive Director Henry Sokolski. Dec 03, 2002 AUTHOR: Henry Sokolski Beyond the Agreed Framework-The DPRKs Projected Atomic Bomb Making Cap…. (PDF) 49.72 KB Beyond the Agreed Framework The DPRK’s Projected Atomic Bomb Making Capabilities, 2002-09 An Analysis of the Nonproliferation […]
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