On March 16, 2020, NPEC’s Executive Director, Henry Sokolski gave the following lecture at University of California: San Diego.
Missile Wars: What’s Coming
Since the 1970s, military theorists have predicted wars would be waged with super precise missiles that would penetrate most defenses. Recent successful missile attacks against oil facilities at Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia, and Ain Assad Airbase in Iraq suggest that their predictions have come true. How real is this revolution? What new civilian and military targets might now be vulnerable that previously were not? In the case of civilian targets, such as nuclear power plants and cities, what are the moral and military considerations? This presentation will answer these questions.
Mar 16, 2020
AUTHOR: Henry Sokolski
Missile Wars: What’s Coming
Henry Sokolski
University of California: San Diego
Missile Wars: An Overview
Missile Wars: 1972-2020
Reactor Vulnerability to Missiles in 1992
Reactor Vulnerability to Missiles Today
City Busting or Ginsu Strikes: We Now Can Choose
Should We Target Civilians and Civil Assets?
Does Counter Value Mean Mass Murder?
Do We Need Large Yields When We Have Accuracy?
What Deterrence Might Entail in a Missile Driven Competition
Real Deterrence Requires Imagining Real Wars
The Ethical and Technical Requirements for Effective Precision Strikes
Thinking About Long-Term Offense-Defense Competition