NPEC Public Policy Fellowship Research Retreat
February 8 and 9, 2023
Wednesday, February 8th
China’s Compliance with the NPT
Thomas Grant, Senior Fellow, Wolfson College, University of Cambridge and former Senior Advisor for Strategic Planning, Bureau of InternationalSecurity and Nonproliferation, U.S. Department of State
China’s nuclear build-up and their noncompliance with Article 6 of the NPT
Why should we care about China’s noncompliance with the NPT?
What Does the History of NPT and IAEA Violations and Withdrawals Teach
Christopher Ford, former Assistant Secretary of State for International Security and Nonproliferation, MITRE Fellow, and Visiting Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution
NPT’s dealing with violations and withdrawals has not been reassuring
NPT members have difficulty calling out violators
How nonnuclear NPT states hold the NPT nuclear armed states hostage and how the decline of Cold War alliances has weakened the NPT
South Korea’s Past Flirtations with Proliferation
Richard Lawless, former Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Asian and Pacific Security Affairs, Founder and Principal, New Magellan Ventures International, LLC
South Korea’s first attempt to get nuclear weapons was prompted by Washington’s unpredictable foreign policy shifts
The good: US and ROK alliance relations are stronger than ever
The bad: North Korea and China are growing threats
South Korea must now assess how reliable America’s nuclear guarantee is
Thursday, February 9th
How Space Power Theory Affects One’s Deterrence Outlook
Brent Ziarnick, Associate Professor, Department of Spacepower, Air Command and Staff College, Maxwell AFB, Alabama
The sanctuary and arms control school of space today is the dominant view
Integrated deterrence presumes combat in space is “off limits”
Sound spacepower theory should be viewed as a form of limited war
Current space satellites lack the kind of maneuverability needed to fight but that may change soon with the advent of large spacecraft such as Starship
Should Achieving Space Superiority be America’s Immediate Military Objective?
Peter Hays, Senior Policy Advisor, Falcon Research, Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Space Acquisition and Integration, Acquisition Policy and Processes Division
Warfare has become a game of target acquisition and precision strikes that depend more and more on space-system-supplied data
Four ways of thinking about space strategy
Are offensive or defensive space forces more advantageous in war and how well can we distinguish between them?
How Does the Outer Space Treaty Apply to Military Activities?
Laura Montgomery, Proprietor, Ground Based Space Matters | Adjunct Professor of Space Law, The Catholic University of America, Columbus School of Law
Clarifying what counts as “peaceful” under the Outer Space Treaty and how the treaty operates during war